THE LURE OF “POPULISM”Why the “NO” in Italy’s referendum was’t the same as “Leave” or “Trump for President”

THE LURE OF “POPULISM”

Why the “NO” in Italy’s referendum was’t the same as “Leave” or “Trump for President”

Political, economic and demographic factors played out differently in reform vote

“Nobody ever loses in Italian politics; I have lost,” said Matteo Renzi, the outgoing prime minister, in reference to the habit of Italian politicians to stay in power regardless of their failures. His concession came an hour after exit polls that all but confirmed his defeat in the constitutional reform referendum. But who voted against […]

La Costituzione di chi vota “SI”. La Costituzione di chi vota “NO”


La Costituzione di chi vota “SI”. La Costituzione di chi vota “NO”

Domenica si voterà per il referendum costituzionale ed io che voto “SI” non posso mancare di esprimere le ragioni di questa mia scelta. Così come ritengo mio dovere esprimere il mio giudizio e l’analisi delle motivazioni di chi vota “NO”.

L’obiettivo principale della riforma è quello di rendere più rapido il passaggio delle leggi senza l’estenuante gioco di rinvii tra Camera e Senato. Un gioco di rinvii in cui si annidano le peggiori caratteristiche del processo legislativo, con l’introduzione di piccoli cambiamenti  destinati a favorire interessi particolari, oppure a rendere poco chiare le leggi in modo […]

Il grosso granchio dei sondaggi

Il grosso granchio dei sondaggi

La vittoria di Trump nelle elezioni USA smentisce clamorosamente quasi tutte le previsioni: la lista dei peggiori flop

Difficile dire con anticipo se Donald Trump, il candidato del Partito Repubblicano che ha battuto contro ogni previsione – o quasi – la concorrenza dell’avversaria del Partito Democratico Hillary Clinton, saprà essere all’altezza del suo compito ma certamente oggi alla luce del suo successo elettorale i sondaggisti e i più importanti esperti politici del mondo che in […]

Trump-Clinton: after last debate odds crown Hillary next president

Trump-Clinton: after last debate odds crown Hillary next president

In the presidential race, for bookmakers and bettors,  the Democratic Party candidate plentifully outstrip the Republican Party one

After the final debate of the 2016 USA presidential race that was in Las Vegas at the Thomas and Mack Center in the University of Nevada last 19 of October, the Democratic Party candidate Hillary Clinton seems to have taken a decisive step towards the conquest of this Presidential election and seems to shut the door on […]

UK: The Decay of Democracy Brings Forth Monsters.

UK: The Decay of Democracy Brings Forth Monsters.

Cameron's referendum was a heavy blow to the British tradition of Parliament's leadership.

On 16th June this year, a week before the EU referendum,  supporter of the ‘Remain’ campaign, was stabbed to death in her parliamentary constituency. On his first appearance before magistrates her alleged murderer was asked to confirm his name and replied simply: “Death to all traitors, freedom for Britain”. It seems that medical issues will […]

TRUMP vs CLINTONThe clash that wasn’t


TRUMP vs CLINTON
The clash that wasn’t


More than the polls that in recent months have explored the feelings of the American electorate, the odds of the bookmakers have become a great litmus test to assess the mood of the voters and their truest forecasts.

Bookmakers from around the world – which lay down how much is paid to the occurrence of an event, assessing the degree of probability – have been watching with great attention the first Clinton-Trump debate. But in the evening of Monday September 26th, when Donald Trump and the ex-First Lady were leaving the Great Hall […]

 Is Germany part of the West?


Is Germany part of the West?

For about 70 years, Germany has stressed its belonging to the West. But since 2014 this, in a long term perspective, has been put in doubt. Surprisingly, by the German weekly "Der Spiegel".

The only reason my German grandfather survived as a Russian prisoner of war was that he had a beautiful singing voice. He had been drafted into the Volkssturm militia in 1944, during the final phase of the war in which the Nazi party recruited most able-bodied males into the armed forces, regardless of their age. […]

Labour Party Leadership Election:Recovery or Shipwreck?


Labour Party Leadership Election:
Recovery or Shipwreck?

Conflict with the MPs who have emerged in the Blair era might bring about a defeat of Corbyn's Labour, but in the medium term there is a space for Socialism in Britain's political and cultural life.

An outsider studying Filippo Frizzi’s comprehensive account of public opinion polling and the bookmakers’ odds on offer for the two candidates in the present election for Labour Party leader could be forgiven for asking why there had to be an election in the first place given that the present leader, Jeremy Corbyn, was elected by […]

Elezioni Partito Laburista: per i bookmakers Corbyn è già un “done deal”

Elezioni Partito Laburista: per i bookmakers Corbyn è già un “done deal”

Le maggiori sigle di scommesse del Regno Unito puntano sulla sua rielezione: lo sfidante Smith dietro nei sondaggi e nelle quote

  Ad appena 12 giorni dal voto in cui i membri del Labour Party saranno chiamati ad eleggere il nuovo leader – che diventa automaticamente il candidato del partito alla carica di Primo Ministro – l’uscente Jeremy Corbin è saldamente in testa non solo nei sondaggi ufficiali ma anche nelle scommesse dei bookmakers. Quando il 30 agosto […]

Elezioni USA:  Trump versus Clinton, tra scommesse e tragedia

Elezioni USA:
Trump versus Clinton, tra scommesse e tragedia

Nella corsa alla Casa Bianca dicono più i bookmakers che i sondaggi

Ad appena due mesi dall’Election Day del prossimo 8 novembre, nelle quote dei bookmakers nazionali ed internazionali, per la corsa alla presidenza degli Stati Uniti, Hillary Clinton domina sul rivale Donald Trump. I quotisti di tutto il mondo – che stabiliscono a quanto viene pagato il verificarsi di un evento, valutandone il grado di probabilità […]